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20 Aug 2022 · 15:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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35.6%
Gillingham
27.7%
Draw
36.7%
Walsall

Expected Goals (xG)

1.11

Gillingham

vs
1.13

Walsall

Markets

BTTS44.8%
Over 0.589.9%
Over 1.564.9%
Over 2.538.8%
Over 3.518.8%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
12.8%
0-1
12.6%
1-0
12.4%
0-0
10.1%
1-2
7.5%
2-1
7.4%
0-2
6.8%
2-0
6.6%
2-2
4.2%
1-3
2.8%
3-1
2.7%
0-3
2.6%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).