Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →58.6%
Parma
25.1%
Draw
16.3%
Reggina
Expected Goals (xG)
1.78
Parma
vs
0.84
Reggina
Markets
BTTS48.5%
Over 0.591.7%
Over 1.574.8%
Over 2.548.8%
Over 3.527.0%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
12.0%
1-0
11.8%
2-0
11.5%
2-1
9.7%
0-0
8.3%
3-0
6.8%
3-1
5.8%
0-1
5.0%
1-2
4.6%
2-2
4.1%
4-0
3.0%
0-2
2.6%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).