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26 Oct 2024 · 15:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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54.4%
Lincoln
22.9%
Draw
22.7%
Stockport

Expected Goals (xG)

1.62

Lincoln

vs
0.93

Stockport

Markets

BTTS47.6%
Over 0.593.2%
Over 1.571.3%
Over 2.546.9%
Over 3.525.3%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-0
13.6%
1-1
10.8%
2-0
10.2%
2-1
9.5%
0-1
8.3%
0-0
6.8%
3-0
5.5%
1-2
5.5%
3-1
5.1%
2-2
4.4%
0-2
3.4%
3-2
2.4%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).