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DHT: 10CSV

01 Oct 2023 · 15:30

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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52.6%
Aris
29.1%
Draw
18.3%
Kifisia

Expected Goals (xG)

1.45

Aris

vs
0.75

Kifisia

Markets

BTTS41.5%
Over 0.587.8%
Over 1.565.6%
Over 2.537.7%
Over 3.518.0%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-0
15.0%
1-1
13.2%
0-0
12.2%
2-0
11.6%
2-1
8.7%
0-1
7.2%
3-0
5.6%
1-2
4.5%
3-1
4.2%
2-2
3.3%
0-2
3.1%
4-0
2.0%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).