Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →19.8%
Valladolid
27.5%
Draw
52.7%
Alaves
Expected Goals (xG)
0.77
Valladolid
vs
1.43
Alaves
Markets
BTTS41.0%
Over 0.588.7%
Over 1.564.8%
Over 2.537.7%
Over 3.518.1%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-1
15.6%
1-1
12.4%
0-2
11.4%
0-0
11.3%
1-2
8.7%
1-0
8.2%
0-3
5.4%
2-1
4.7%
1-3
4.2%
2-2
3.3%
2-0
3.3%
0-4
2.0%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).