Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →39.8%
Alaves
30.8%
Draw
29.4%
Mallorca
Expected Goals (xG)
1.12
Alaves
vs
0.92
Mallorca
Markets
BTTS40.9%
Over 0.586.8%
Over 1.560.9%
Over 2.533.6%
Over 3.515.1%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
14.2%
1-1
13.7%
0-0
13.2%
0-1
11.6%
2-0
8.2%
2-1
7.5%
1-2
6.2%
0-2
5.5%
2-2
3.5%
3-0
3.1%
3-1
2.8%
1-3
1.9%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).