Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →22.5%
Hartlepool
23.2%
Draw
54.2%
Port Vale
Expected Goals (xG)
0.99
Hartlepool
vs
1.69
Port Vale
Markets
BTTS50.7%
Over 0.593.6%
Over 1.574.2%
Over 2.550.0%
Over 3.528.0%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-1
12.1%
1-1
11.0%
0-2
9.8%
1-2
9.7%
1-0
7.3%
0-0
6.4%
2-1
5.7%
0-3
5.5%
1-3
5.4%
2-2
4.8%
2-0
3.4%
2-3
2.7%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).