Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →71.3%
Inverness C
18.4%
Draw
10.2%
Dumbarton
Expected Goals (xG)
2.29
Inverness C
vs
0.76
Dumbarton
Markets
BTTS48.3%
Over 0.594.7%
Over 1.581.3%
Over 2.558.7%
Over 3.536.3%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0
12.4%
1-0
10.3%
3-0
9.5%
2-1
9.4%
1-1
8.8%
3-1
7.2%
4-0
5.4%
0-0
5.3%
4-1
4.1%
2-2
3.6%
1-2
3.1%
0-1
3.1%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).