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HHT: 21CSV

07 May 2016

Empoli

Away

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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86.1%
Inter
9.8%
Draw
4.1%
Empoli

Expected Goals (xG)

2.96

Inter

vs
0.52

Empoli

Markets

BTTS38.6%
Over 0.597.0%
Over 1.586.2%
Over 2.567.7%
Over 3.546.1%

Most Likely Scorelines

2-0
13.4%
3-0
13.3%
4-0
9.8%
1-0
9.1%
2-1
7.0%
3-1
7.0%
5-0
5.8%
4-1
5.2%
1-1
4.7%
5-1
3.1%
0-0
3.0%
2-2
1.8%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).