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02 Sept 2025 · 18:45

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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54.3%
Pau FC
21.5%
Draw
24.2%
Silsden

Expected Goals (xG)

1.93

Pau FC

vs
1.22

Silsden

Markets

BTTS59.8%
Over 0.596.0%
Over 1.581.8%
Over 2.560.8%
Over 3.538.5%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
9.8%
2-1
9.7%
1-0
8.6%
2-0
8.0%
3-1
6.3%
1-2
6.2%
2-2
5.9%
0-1
5.6%
3-0
5.1%
0-0
4.0%
3-2
3.8%
0-2
3.2%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).