Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →36.9%
Man United
21.7%
Draw
41.4%
Faversham Town
Expected Goals (xG)
1.69
Man United
vs
1.80
Faversham Town
Markets
BTTS67.7%
Over 0.597.2%
Over 1.586.0%
Over 2.567.7%
Over 3.546.1%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
9.0%
1-2
8.4%
2-1
7.8%
2-2
7.1%
0-1
5.8%
1-0
5.5%
1-3
5.0%
0-2
5.0%
3-1
4.4%
2-0
4.4%
2-3
4.2%
3-2
4.0%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).