Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →62.7%
Frosinone
22.8%
Draw
14.5%
Ternana
Expected Goals (xG)
1.98
Frosinone
vs
0.86
Ternana
Markets
BTTS50.7%
Over 0.593.2%
Over 1.578.6%
Over 2.554.0%
Over 3.531.7%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0
11.5%
1-1
10.9%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
9.8%
3-0
7.6%
0-0
6.8%
3-1
6.5%
1-2
4.3%
2-2
4.2%
0-1
4.0%
4-0
3.8%
4-1
3.2%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).