Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →19.4%
Carlisle
21.9%
Draw
58.8%
Wycombe
Expected Goals (xG)
0.85
Carlisle
vs
1.71
Wycombe
Markets
BTTS46.0%
Over 0.593.2%
Over 1.571.6%
Over 2.547.2%
Over 3.525.6%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-1
14.2%
0-2
11.3%
1-1
10.3%
1-2
9.6%
1-0
7.5%
0-0
6.8%
0-3
6.5%
1-3
5.5%
2-1
4.8%
2-2
4.1%
2-0
2.8%
0-4
2.8%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).