Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →39.1%
Pacos Ferreira
25.2%
Draw
35.7%
Portimonense
Expected Goals (xG)
1.34
Pacos Ferreira
vs
1.27
Portimonense
Markets
BTTS52.7%
Over 0.593.2%
Over 1.573.0%
Over 2.548.6%
Over 3.526.8%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
11.9%
1-0
10.4%
0-1
9.8%
2-1
8.4%
1-2
7.9%
0-0
6.8%
2-0
6.6%
0-2
5.9%
2-2
5.3%
3-1
3.8%
1-3
3.4%
3-0
3.0%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).