Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →41.1%
Hoffenheim
22.9%
Draw
36.0%
Stuttgart
Expected Goals (xG)
1.91
Hoffenheim
vs
1.78
Stuttgart
Markets
BTTS71.4%
Over 0.596.9%
Over 1.588.9%
Over 2.571.2%
Over 3.550.3%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
9.1%
2-1
8.1%
1-2
7.6%
2-2
7.2%
3-1
5.2%
3-2
4.6%
2-0
4.6%
1-3
4.5%
2-3
4.3%
1-0
4.1%
0-2
4.0%
0-1
3.8%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).