Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →61.4%
Famalicao
25.8%
Draw
12.9%
Rio Ave
Expected Goals (xG)
1.63
Famalicao
vs
0.61
Rio Ave
Markets
BTTS37.7%
Over 0.588.6%
Over 1.566.5%
Over 2.539.0%
Over 3.519.0%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
16.4%
2-0
14.1%
1-1
11.4%
0-0
11.4%
2-1
8.7%
3-0
7.7%
0-1
5.7%
3-1
4.7%
1-2
3.3%
4-0
3.1%
2-2
2.7%
0-2
2.0%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).