Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →54.0%
Alaves
30.3%
Draw
15.7%
Zaragoza
Expected Goals (xG)
1.22
Alaves
vs
0.52
Zaragoza
Markets
BTTS28.3%
Over 0.582.6%
Over 1.551.8%
Over 2.525.4%
Over 3.59.9%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
21.6%
0-0
17.4%
2-0
13.2%
1-1
11.0%
0-1
9.2%
2-1
6.8%
3-0
5.4%
1-2
2.9%
3-1
2.8%
0-2
2.3%
2-2
1.8%
4-0
1.6%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).