Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →23.8%
Bristol City
21.8%
Draw
54.4%
Waltham Abbey
Expected Goals (xG)
1.17
Bristol City
vs
1.88
Waltham Abbey
Markets
BTTS58.1%
Over 0.595.6%
Over 1.580.5%
Over 2.558.8%
Over 3.536.5%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
10.1%
1-2
9.8%
0-1
9.2%
0-2
8.4%
1-3
6.2%
2-1
6.1%
1-0
5.8%
2-2
5.7%
0-3
5.3%
0-0
4.4%
2-3
3.6%
2-0
3.2%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).