Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →66.0%
Lecce
23.2%
Draw
10.8%
Virtus Entella
Expected Goals (xG)
1.85
Lecce
vs
0.62
Virtus Entella
Markets
BTTS40.1%
Over 0.590.6%
Over 1.571.7%
Over 2.545.0%
Over 3.523.7%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
14.6%
2-0
14.4%
1-1
10.7%
0-0
9.4%
2-1
9.0%
3-0
8.9%
3-1
5.6%
0-1
4.3%
4-0
4.1%
1-2
3.0%
2-2
2.8%
4-1
2.6%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).