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AHT: 00CSV

22 Feb 2025 · 13:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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18.2%
Ferrol
24.9%
Draw
56.9%
Cordoba

Expected Goals (xG)

0.77

Ferrol

vs
1.59

Cordoba

Markets

BTTS42.6%
Over 0.590.6%
Over 1.568.1%
Over 2.541.9%
Over 3.521.2%

Most Likely Scorelines

0-1
15.1%
0-2
11.9%
1-1
11.5%
0-0
9.4%
1-2
9.2%
1-0
7.4%
0-3
6.3%
1-3
4.9%
2-1
4.5%
2-2
3.5%
2-0
2.8%
0-4
2.5%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).