Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →39.2%
Newcastle
26.6%
Draw
34.2%
Liverpool
Expected Goals (xG)
1.63
Newcastle
vs
1.51
Liverpool
Markets
BTTS64.2%
Over 0.594.2%
Over 1.583.6%
Over 2.560.9%
Over 3.538.5%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
12.1%
2-1
8.7%
1-2
8.1%
2-2
6.6%
0-0
5.8%
2-0
5.7%
1-0
5.6%
0-1
5.0%
0-2
4.9%
3-1
4.7%
1-3
4.1%
3-2
3.6%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).