Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →7.8%
Hull
22.5%
Draw
69.7%
Burnley
Expected Goals (xG)
0.44
Hull
vs
1.77
Burnley
Markets
BTTS29.9%
Over 0.588.4%
Over 1.565.4%
Over 2.538.0%
Over 3.518.3%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-1
18.8%
0-2
17.3%
0-0
11.6%
0-3
10.2%
1-1
9.1%
1-2
7.5%
0-4
4.5%
1-3
4.4%
1-0
4.2%
1-4
2.0%
2-1
1.8%
2-2
1.6%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).