Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →33.7%
Djurgården
27.3%
Draw
39.0%
Hammarby
Expected Goals (xG)
1.39
Djurgården
vs
1.51
Hammarby
Markets
BTTS59.6%
Over 0.593.2%
Over 1.579.7%
Over 2.555.2%
Over 3.532.9%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
12.8%
1-2
8.7%
2-1
8.0%
0-1
7.1%
0-0
6.8%
1-0
6.4%
0-2
6.3%
2-2
6.0%
2-0
5.3%
1-3
4.4%
3-1
3.7%
0-3
3.2%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).