Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →52.8%
Kilmarnock
31.8%
Draw
15.3%
Dunfermline
Expected Goals (xG)
1.36
Kilmarnock
vs
0.63
Dunfermline
Markets
BTTS36.5%
Over 0.584.5%
Over 1.561.0%
Over 2.532.0%
Over 3.514.1%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
16.8%
0-0
15.5%
1-1
13.6%
2-0
12.7%
2-1
8.0%
0-1
6.7%
3-0
5.7%
1-2
3.7%
3-1
3.6%
0-2
2.7%
2-2
2.5%
4-0
2.0%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).