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31 Aug 2024 · 14:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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32.6%
Bottesford Town
28.6%
Draw
38.8%
Loughborough University

Expected Goals (xG)

1.02

Bottesford Town

vs
1.14

Loughborough University

Markets

BTTS42.9%
Over 0.588.8%
Over 1.563.0%
Over 2.536.5%
Over 3.517.2%

Most Likely Scorelines

0-1
13.6%
1-1
13.0%
1-0
12.2%
0-0
11.2%
1-2
7.6%
0-2
7.5%
2-1
6.8%
2-0
6.0%
2-2
3.9%
1-3
2.9%
0-3
2.8%
3-1
2.3%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).