Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →33.3%
Giannina
28.6%
Draw
38.1%
Asteras Tripolis
Expected Goals (xG)
1.25
Giannina
vs
1.36
Asteras Tripolis
Markets
BTTS54.2%
Over 0.591.5%
Over 1.574.6%
Over 2.548.4%
Over 3.526.6%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
13.7%
0-1
8.8%
0-0
8.5%
1-2
8.5%
1-0
8.0%
2-1
7.8%
0-2
6.8%
2-0
5.8%
2-2
5.3%
1-3
3.8%
3-1
3.3%
0-3
3.1%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).