Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →34.6%
Forfar
28.8%
Draw
36.6%
Elgin
Expected Goals (xG)
1.44
Forfar
vs
1.48
Elgin
Markets
BTTS61.0%
Over 0.592.6%
Over 1.580.9%
Over 2.555.9%
Over 3.533.5%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
13.5%
1-2
8.5%
2-1
8.3%
0-0
7.4%
2-2
6.1%
0-1
5.9%
0-2
5.9%
1-0
5.7%
2-0
5.6%
1-3
4.2%
3-1
4.0%
2-3
3.0%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).