Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →17.4%
İstanbul Başakşehir
25.1%
Draw
57.5%
Galatasaray
Expected Goals (xG)
1.15
İstanbul Başakşehir
vs
2.13
Galatasaray
Markets
BTTS62.4%
Over 0.593.9%
Over 1.586.1%
Over 2.563.5%
Over 3.541.4%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
11.6%
1-2
9.8%
0-2
8.6%
1-3
7.0%
0-0
6.1%
0-3
6.1%
0-1
5.7%
2-2
5.6%
2-1
5.3%
2-3
4.0%
1-4
3.7%
0-4
3.2%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).