Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →58.5%
Gil Vicente
24.0%
Draw
17.6%
Setubal
Expected Goals (xG)
1.59
Gil Vicente
vs
0.73
Setubal
Markets
BTTS40.9%
Over 0.590.7%
Over 1.567.0%
Over 2.541.1%
Over 3.520.6%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
16.1%
2-0
12.4%
1-1
10.9%
0-0
9.3%
2-1
9.1%
0-1
7.7%
3-0
6.6%
3-1
4.8%
1-2
4.2%
2-2
3.3%
4-0
2.6%
0-2
2.6%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).