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17 Dec 2022 · 15:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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45.3%
Ross County
28.7%
Draw
26.0%
St Johnstone

Expected Goals (xG)

1.37

Ross County

vs
0.97

St Johnstone

Markets

BTTS47.0%
Over 0.589.7%
Over 1.568.5%
Over 2.541.4%
Over 3.520.9%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
13.5%
1-0
12.5%
0-0
10.3%
2-0
9.0%
2-1
8.8%
0-1
8.7%
1-2
6.2%
0-2
4.5%
2-2
4.3%
3-0
4.1%
3-1
4.0%
1-3
2.0%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).