Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →46.2%
Sutton
26.6%
Draw
27.2%
Wealdstone
Expected Goals (xG)
1.61
Sutton
vs
1.19
Wealdstone
Markets
BTTS56.6%
Over 0.592.9%
Over 1.577.8%
Over 2.553.0%
Over 3.530.7%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
12.6%
2-1
9.4%
1-0
8.8%
2-0
7.9%
0-0
7.1%
1-2
6.9%
0-1
6.3%
2-2
5.6%
3-1
5.0%
0-2
4.3%
3-0
4.2%
3-2
3.0%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).