Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →36.6%
Concarneau
27.4%
Draw
36.0%
Ajaccio
Expected Goals (xG)
1.08
Concarneau
vs
1.07
Ajaccio
Markets
BTTS42.2%
Over 0.589.4%
Over 1.562.1%
Over 2.536.3%
Over 3.517.0%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
13.7%
0-1
13.6%
1-1
12.4%
0-0
10.6%
2-1
7.3%
1-2
7.2%
2-0
6.8%
0-2
6.6%
2-2
3.9%
3-1
2.6%
1-3
2.5%
3-0
2.5%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).