Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →81.3%
Brentford
13.6%
Draw
5.1%
Southampton
Expected Goals (xG)
2.82
Brentford
vs
0.65
Southampton
Markets
BTTS45.5%
Over 0.596.1%
Over 1.586.8%
Over 2.567.2%
Over 3.545.5%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0
12.4%
3-0
11.7%
4-0
8.2%
1-0
8.1%
2-1
8.0%
3-1
7.5%
1-1
6.5%
4-1
5.3%
5-0
4.6%
0-0
3.9%
5-1
3.0%
2-2
2.6%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).