Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →46.4%
St. Gallen
29.6%
Draw
23.9%
Lugano
Expected Goals (xG)
1.55
St. Gallen
vs
1.07
Lugano
Markets
BTTS53.8%
Over 0.590.6%
Over 1.575.8%
Over 2.548.7%
Over 3.526.8%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
14.2%
0-0
9.4%
2-1
9.4%
1-0
9.2%
2-0
8.8%
1-2
6.4%
0-1
5.6%
2-2
5.0%
3-1
4.9%
3-0
4.5%
0-2
4.1%
3-2
2.6%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).