Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →44.9%
Middlesbrough
29.1%
Draw
26.0%
Millwall
Expected Goals (xG)
1.40
Middlesbrough
vs
1.01
Millwall
Markets
BTTS48.9%
Over 0.589.9%
Over 1.570.4%
Over 2.543.2%
Over 3.522.3%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
13.8%
1-0
11.5%
0-0
10.1%
2-1
8.9%
2-0
8.8%
0-1
8.0%
1-2
6.4%
0-2
4.6%
2-2
4.5%
3-1
4.1%
3-0
4.1%
1-3
2.2%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).