Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →17.2%
Las Palmas
26.1%
Draw
56.7%
Ath Madrid
Expected Goals (xG)
0.74
Las Palmas
vs
1.57
Ath Madrid
Markets
BTTS41.7%
Over 0.589.6%
Over 1.567.4%
Over 2.540.5%
Over 3.520.2%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-1
15.2%
0-2
12.2%
1-1
11.9%
0-0
10.4%
1-2
9.0%
1-0
7.0%
0-3
6.4%
1-3
4.7%
2-1
4.3%
2-2
3.3%
2-0
2.7%
0-4
2.5%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).