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DHT: 10CSV

05 Jan 2024 · 14:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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51.5%
Gaziantep
28.8%
Draw
19.7%
Pendikspor

Expected Goals (xG)

1.79

Gaziantep

vs
1.07

Pendikspor

Markets

BTTS57.3%
Over 0.591.5%
Over 1.580.6%
Over 2.554.3%
Over 3.532.0%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
13.7%
2-1
9.8%
2-0
9.2%
0-0
8.5%
1-0
7.5%
3-1
5.9%
1-2
5.8%
3-0
5.5%
2-2
5.2%
0-1
3.4%
0-2
3.3%
3-2
3.1%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).