Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →16.9%
Tondela
26.4%
Draw
56.7%
Gil Vicente
Expected Goals (xG)
0.62
Tondela
vs
1.41
Gil Vicente
Markets
BTTS34.5%
Over 0.587.4%
Over 1.559.7%
Over 2.533.2%
Over 3.514.9%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-1
19.0%
0-2
13.0%
0-0
12.6%
1-1
11.0%
1-0
8.7%
1-2
8.1%
0-3
6.1%
1-3
3.8%
2-1
3.6%
2-0
2.5%
2-2
2.5%
0-4
2.2%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).