Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →32.1%
Bielefeld
27.6%
Draw
40.3%
St Pauli
Expected Goals (xG)
1.30
Bielefeld
vs
1.48
St Pauli
Markets
BTTS57.2%
Over 0.592.6%
Over 1.577.6%
Over 2.552.4%
Over 3.530.2%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
13.1%
1-2
8.8%
0-1
8.1%
2-1
7.8%
0-0
7.4%
1-0
6.9%
0-2
6.8%
2-2
5.7%
2-0
5.3%
1-3
4.3%
3-1
3.4%
0-3
3.4%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).