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21 Aug 2024 · 18:45

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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84.4%
Dunston
11.2%
Draw
4.5%
Whickham

Expected Goals (xG)

2.69

Dunston

vs
0.46

Whickham

Markets

BTTS34.5%
Over 0.595.9%
Over 1.582.1%
Over 2.561.1%
Over 3.538.8%

Most Likely Scorelines

2-0
15.4%
3-0
13.8%
1-0
11.6%
4-0
9.3%
2-1
7.2%
3-1
6.4%
1-1
5.2%
5-0
5.0%
4-1
4.3%
0-0
4.1%
5-1
2.3%
0-1
2.1%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).