Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →31.8%
Benevento
28.3%
Draw
39.9%
Parma
Expected Goals (xG)
1.03
Benevento
vs
1.20
Parma
Markets
BTTS44.8%
Over 0.589.5%
Over 1.565.1%
Over 2.538.6%
Over 3.518.7%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-1
13.1%
1-1
13.1%
1-0
11.3%
0-0
10.5%
1-2
8.0%
0-2
7.7%
2-1
6.9%
2-0
5.7%
2-2
4.1%
1-3
3.2%
0-3
3.1%
3-1
2.4%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).