Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →40.4%
Lorient
23.8%
Draw
35.9%
Toulouse
Expected Goals (xG)
1.47
Lorient
vs
1.37
Toulouse
Markets
BTTS56.6%
Over 0.594.8%
Over 1.576.8%
Over 2.553.8%
Over 3.531.5%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
11.1%
1-0
9.3%
0-1
8.7%
2-1
8.6%
1-2
8.1%
2-0
6.3%
2-2
5.9%
0-2
5.5%
0-0
5.2%
3-1
4.2%
1-3
3.7%
3-0
3.1%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).