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25 Feb 2023 · 15:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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31.2%
Grimsby
29.7%
Draw
39.1%
Leyton Orient

Expected Goals (xG)

0.92

Grimsby

vs
1.07

Leyton Orient

Markets

BTTS39.2%
Over 0.587.0%
Over 1.558.8%
Over 2.532.3%
Over 3.514.3%

Most Likely Scorelines

0-1
15.1%
1-0
13.1%
0-0
13.0%
1-1
12.9%
0-2
7.8%
1-2
7.2%
2-1
6.2%
2-0
5.8%
2-2
3.3%
0-3
2.8%
1-3
2.6%
3-1
1.9%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).