⚽ FootballData
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HHT: 11CSV

13 Feb 2018

Dundee

Away

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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42.1%
Kilmarnock
24.1%
Draw
33.8%
Dundee

Expected Goals (xG)

1.73

Kilmarnock

vs
1.54

Dundee

Markets

BTTS65.1%
Over 0.595.7%
Over 1.584.2%
Over 2.563.3%
Over 3.541.2%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
10.7%
2-1
8.8%
1-2
7.8%
2-2
6.7%
1-0
6.1%
2-0
5.7%
0-1
5.3%
3-1
5.1%
0-2
4.5%
0-0
4.3%
1-3
4.0%
3-2
3.9%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).