⚽ FootballData
0 – 1
AHT: 00CSV

01 Dec 2023 · 19:30

Dixon-Coles Prediction

View all models →
4.9%
Darmstadt
10.5%
Draw
84.6%
FC Koln

Expected Goals (xG)

0.76

Darmstadt

vs
3.27

FC Koln

Markets

BTTS51.5%
Over 0.597.9%
Over 1.591.4%
Over 2.576.6%
Over 3.557.2%

Most Likely Scorelines

0-3
10.4%
0-2
9.5%
0-4
8.5%
1-3
7.9%
1-2
7.2%
1-4
6.4%
0-5
5.5%
0-1
5.5%
1-1
4.8%
1-5
4.2%
2-3
3.0%
2-2
2.7%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).