Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →43.2%
Augsburg
28.8%
Draw
28.0%
Werder Bremen
Expected Goals (xG)
1.37
Augsburg
vs
1.06
Werder Bremen
Markets
BTTS49.6%
Over 0.590.3%
Over 1.570.7%
Over 2.543.8%
Over 3.522.7%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
13.6%
1-0
11.2%
0-0
9.7%
2-1
8.8%
0-1
8.4%
2-0
8.3%
1-2
6.7%
0-2
4.9%
2-2
4.6%
3-1
4.0%
3-0
3.8%
1-3
2.4%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).