Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →43.7%
Brentford
26.1%
Draw
30.2%
Bournemouth
Expected Goals (xG)
1.75
Brentford
vs
1.43
Bournemouth
Markets
BTTS64.3%
Over 0.594.4%
Over 1.584.1%
Over 2.561.6%
Over 3.539.3%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
11.8%
2-1
9.1%
1-2
7.4%
2-2
6.5%
2-0
6.4%
1-0
5.8%
0-0
5.6%
3-1
5.3%
0-1
4.5%
0-2
4.3%
3-2
3.8%
3-0
3.7%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).