Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →50.0%
Bordeaux
19.8%
Draw
30.3%
Metz
Expected Goals (xG)
2.16
Bordeaux
vs
1.65
Metz
Markets
BTTS71.1%
Over 0.598.2%
Over 1.588.9%
Over 2.573.3%
Over 3.553.0%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-1
8.5%
1-1
7.4%
2-2
7.0%
1-2
6.5%
3-1
6.1%
1-0
5.2%
2-0
5.1%
3-2
5.1%
0-1
4.1%
2-3
3.9%
3-0
3.7%
1-3
3.6%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).