Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →37.3%
Crawley Town
26.8%
Draw
35.9%
Barrow
Expected Goals (xG)
1.20
Crawley Town
vs
1.17
Barrow
Markets
BTTS47.7%
Over 0.591.2%
Over 1.568.1%
Over 2.542.3%
Over 3.521.6%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
12.6%
1-0
11.7%
0-1
11.4%
0-0
8.8%
2-1
7.9%
1-2
7.7%
2-0
6.7%
0-2
6.4%
2-2
4.6%
3-1
3.2%
1-3
3.0%
3-0
2.7%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).