Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →35.5%
Avellino
30.6%
Draw
33.9%
Benevento
Expected Goals (xG)
1.19
Avellino
vs
1.16
Benevento
Markets
BTTS49.0%
Over 0.589.1%
Over 1.569.3%
Over 2.541.6%
Over 3.521.0%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
14.5%
0-0
10.9%
1-0
10.1%
0-1
9.8%
2-1
7.8%
1-2
7.6%
2-0
6.8%
0-2
6.4%
2-2
4.5%
3-1
3.1%
1-3
2.9%
3-0
2.7%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).